NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia Predictions and Stats

Andy Clark
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NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia

Thu 5 Nov, 17:45 · Europa League

NEC NijmegenLDWDDD
Omonia NicosiaWLLDWW
Our predictionOver 9.5 Corners10/11

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – NEC Nijmegen 4 in the Champions League and 3 in the Europa League and 13 in another competition, Omonia Nicosia 7 in the Europa League and 2 in the Champions League and 11 in another competition

Goals

1.35Scored per game1.65
1.85Conceded per game0.80
Home gamesAway games
1.40Scored1.78
1.80Conceded0.67
Correct Score 2-115/2

On the venue splits this projects NEC Nijmegen 1.29 against Omonia Nicosia 1.90, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.4%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs NEC Nijmegen, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.45xG for1.71
1.50xG against0.95
-0.10Goals vs xG-0.06

Under and Over

90%Over 1.5 goals65%
70%Over 2.5 goals40%
45%Over 3.5 goals25%
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Both Teams to Score

75%Both teams scored35%
1 of 20Clean sheets10 of 20
5 of 20Failed to score5 of 20
Both Teams to Score4/7

Both teams have scored in 15 of NEC Nijmegen’s last 20 matches and 7 of Omonia Nicosia’s. NEC Nijmegen concede 1.85 a game and Omonia Nicosia 0.80.

On the venue splits the projection is 1.29 against 1.90, which puts both teams scoring at about 58%.

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Shots

16.45Shots per game12.56
5.00On target per game6.17
30.4%Accuracy49.1%

Corners

5.60Won per game5.78
2.35First half0.33
42.0%Share before the break5.7%
Over 9.5 Corners10/11

NEC Nijmegen win 5.6 corners a game and Omonia Nicosia 5.78, with 2.35 and 0.33 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 11 in the match, a 70% chance of 10 or more against the 52% implied by 10/11.

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Cards and Fouls

3.25Cards in the match5.11
1.45Own cards per game1.78
1.20Cards by half time0.11
12.15Fouls committed11.50

Shooting Detail

10.50Shots inside the box7.11
5.95Shots outside the box5.44
6.65Off target6.00
4.80Blocked3.83

Big Chances

2.50Big chances created0.33
1.55Big chances missed0.17
38%Taken48%
36.05Touches in the box19.94

Record

4-8-8Won, drawn, lost11-5-4
1 of 20Clean sheets10 of 20
5 of 20Failed to score5 of 20

Possession

55.05%Average share53.72%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Noe LebretonNEC Nijmegen · M16021.970.511.522.252.535
Tjaronn CheryNEC Nijmegen · F15383.511.460.410.530.410
Darko NejasmicNEC Nijmegen · M15351.00.290.641.172.291
Bryan LinssenNEC Nijmegen · F14362.320.751.940.440.53
Tobias StormNEC Nijmegen · D13880.190.01.30.651.883
Clement BischoffNEC Nijmegen · D12102.080.370.672.381.342
Deveron FonvilleNEC Nijmegen · D11530.160.01.250.862.420
Jamiro MonteiroNEC Nijmegen · M7931.360.572.381.133.063
Brayann PereiraNEC Nijmegen · D5740.780.01.571.252.043
Kevin KersNEC Nijmegen · D5362.520.51.180.841.850
Perr SchuursNEC Nijmegen · D4901.470.731.10.02.020
Adam TahauiNEC Nijmegen · F4241.70.640.421.271.70
Jure BalkovecOmonia Nicosia · D10510.690.260.511.20.171
Panagiotis AndreouOmonia Nicosia · M9631.40.561.121.310.282
Ewandro CostaOmonia Nicosia · F9622.530.651.681.310.561
Lubomir SatkaOmonia Nicosia · D9590.470.190.470.280.00
Jean-Kevin DuverneOmonia Nicosia · D9230.780.290.780.780.491
Senou CoulibalyOmonia Nicosia · D7840.80.230.460.690.342
Jaden MontnorOmonia Nicosia · F7772.21.272.551.160.352
Mateo MaricOmonia Nicosia · M7730.70.231.281.280.352
Lois DionyOmonia Nicosia · F7633.31.770.351.060.02
Muamer TankovicOmonia Nicosia · M7443.391.210.61.090.02
Mihlali MayambelaOmonia Nicosia · M4171.940.431.511.940.861
Luuk BrouwersOmonia Nicosia · M4071.110.882.431.330.00

Advised props

Noe Lebreton to be Carded

Noe Lebreton has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for NEC Nijmegen, at 0.28 per 90 across 1,602 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.

NEC Nijmegen pick up 1.45 cards a game and there are 3.25 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.

9/2Add
Darko Nejasmic 2+ Shots

Darko Nejasmic has had 2 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for NEC Nijmegen, at 1.0 per 90 across 1,535 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.

NEC Nijmegen take 16.45 shots a game and hit 5.0 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.

5/2Add
Deveron Fonville 1+ Fouls Committed

Deveron Fonville has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for NEC Nijmegen, at 1.25 per 90 across 1,153 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

Omonia Nicosia hold 53.72% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

TBC

Trends

Window shown per line
0/60%NEC Nijmegen · Last sixNEC Nijmegen have kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last six.
0/60%NEC Nijmegen · Last six at homeNEC Nijmegen have picked up two or more cards in 0 of their last six at home.
6/6100%Omonia Nicosia · Last sixOmonia Nicosia have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
5/683%Omonia Nicosia · Last sixOmonia Nicosia have scored in five of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

NEC Nijmegen

31 OctSC Heerenveen (A)0-1L
25 OctFC Groningen (H)2-2D
22 OctGNK Dinamo Zagreb (A)4-2W
18 OctFortuna Sittard (H)2-2D
15 OctLevski Sofia (H)1-1D
10 OctAFC Ajax (A)1-1D

Omonia Nicosia

31 OctAEL Limassol (H)2-0W
26 OctAEK Larnaca (A)0-2L
22 OctBenfica (H)1-4L
19 OctOlympiakos Nicosia (H)2-2D
15 OctNK Celje (A)3-0W
09 OctKarmiotissa Polemidion (A)3-0W
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Build Your Own NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia Bet

Over 9.5 Corners10/111.91
Why this bet70% on our numbers
Noe Lebreton to be Carded9/25.50
Why this bet3 of his last 10, 0.28 per 90
Darko Nejasmic 2+ Shots5/23.50
Why this bet4 of his last 10, 1.0 per 90
Deveron Fonville 1+ Fouls CommittedTBC
Why this betDeveron Fonville has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for NEC Nijmegen, at 1.25 per 90 across 1,153 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.Omonia Nicosia hold 53.72% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Both Teams to Score4/71.57
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 15 of NEC Nijmegen’s last 20 matches and 7 of Omonia Nicosia’s. NEC Nijmegen concede 1.85 a game and Omonia Nicosia 0.80.On the venue splits the projection is 1.29 against 1.90, which puts both teams scoring at about 58%.
Correct Score 2-115/28.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects NEC Nijmegen 1.29 against Omonia Nicosia 1.90, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.4%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs NEC Nijmegen, which is where the board has the match too.
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