Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Predictions and Stats

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Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Bialystok

Thu 5 Nov, 17:45 · Europa League

Levski SofiaWDWDWL
Jagiellonia BialystokWWWLLW
Our predictionGuilherme Montoia to be Carded12/5

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Levski Sofia 6 in the Champions League and 3 in the Europa League and 11 in another competition, Jagiellonia Bialystok 7 in the Europa League and 13 across two others

Goals

1.55Scored per game1.80
0.65Conceded per game1.35
Home gamesAway games
1.75Scored2.10
0.12Conceded1.30
Correct Score 1-015/2

On the venue splits this projects Levski Sofia 1.74 against Jagiellonia Bialystok 1.08, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.4%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Levski Sofia, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.44xG for1.14
0.74xG against1.25
+0.11Goals vs xG+0.66
Levski Sofia to Win19/20

Levski Sofia have won 13 of their last 20, drawing 5, and at home they have scored 1.75 a game and conceded 0.12 across 8 matches.

Jagiellonia Bialystok average 1.80 scored and 1.35 conceded. The venue splits project 1.74 against 1.08, which puts Levski Sofia at about 51% to win, against 24% for the draw.

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Under and Over

60%Over 1.5 goals85%
40%Over 2.5 goals70%
20%Over 3.5 goals35%
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Both Teams to Score

35%Both teams scored60%
11 of 20Clean sheets4 of 20
4 of 20Failed to score4 of 20

Shots

13.65Shots per game9.75
4.35On target per game4.80
31.9%Accuracy49.2%

Corners

4.88Won per game3.90
0.53First half1.50
10.9%Share before the break38.5%
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Cards and Fouls

3.18Cards in the match3.35
0.94Own cards per game1.55
0.29Cards by half time0.70
10.59Fouls committed13.95
Under 4.5 Cards5/6

Levski Sofia average 3.18 cards in a match and Jagiellonia Bialystok 3.35, so 3.27 here. Our numbers make it 77% against the 55% the price implies.

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Shooting Detail

8.24Shots inside the box5.85
5.41Shots outside the box3.90
5.24Off target5.20
3.88Blocked3.80

Big Chances

0.59Big chances created1.70
0.41Big chances missed1.00
31%Taken41%
8.29Touches in the box18.40

Record

13-5-2Won, drawn, lost11-1-8
11 of 20Clean sheets4 of 20
4 of 20Failed to score4 of 20

Possession

62.88%Average share52.35%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
SerginhoLevski Sofia · M12261.540.511.172.20.510
Christian MakounLevski Sofia · D10450.860.00.430.170.690
ReinaldoLevski Sofia · F10272.891.230.791.750.180
El Mehdi MoubarikLevski Sofia · M9970.630.180.90.631.082
Alex CentellesLevski Sofia · D9601.030.281.030.280.561
Kristian DimitrovLevski Sofia · D9300.480.10.290.290.390
AldairLevski Sofia · D8950.30.11.312.611.811
Everton BalaLevski Sofia · M8742.270.620.720.820.721
MaiconLevski Sofia · M8460.850.320.961.381.280
Armstrong Oko-FlexLevski Sofia · F8352.050.861.081.510.432
Mazire SoulaLevski Sofia · F6991.670.391.671.290.131
Nikola SerafimovLevski Sofia · D6720.130.00.670.40.672
Marko GrujicLevski Sofia · M5750.780.161.11.10.470
David KussoLevski Sofia · F4733.041.141.141.90.380
Juan PereaLevski Sofia · D4151.520.874.770.650.02
Hevertton SantosLevski Sofia · D4020.220.220.450.670.220
Bernardo VitalJagiellonia Bialystok · D11680.690.081.71.01.235
Kajetan SzmytJagiellonia Bialystok · F11461.810.470.791.180.940
Rodrigo ConceicaoJagiellonia Bialystok · D10380.690.261.651.732.772
Jesus ImazJagiellonia Bialystok · M9602.620.940.840.750.940
Taras RomanczukJagiellonia Bialystok · M9030.70.10.51.13.491
Nik PrelecJagiellonia Bialystok · F8971.710.61.00.70.51
Guilherme MontoiaJagiellonia Bialystok · D8790.720.411.741.232.564
Ferslev Anders KlyngeJagiellonia Bialystok · M7501.080.361.440.722.280
Yuki KobayashiJagiellonia Bialystok · D7200.380.120.50.380.881
Sergio LozanoJagiellonia Bialystok · M5745.331.11.251.572.510
Eryk KozlowskiJagiellonia Bialystok · M5060.890.182.670.891.423
Apostolos KonstantopoulosJagiellonia Bialystok · D5050.360.01.430.531.781
Ousmane SowJagiellonia Bialystok · F4772.261.71.511.130.570

Advised props

Guilherme Montoia to be Carded

Guilherme Montoia has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Jagiellonia Bialystok, at 0.41 per 90 across 879 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.

Jagiellonia Bialystok pick up 1.55 cards a game and there are 3.35 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.

12/5Add
Reinaldo 1+ Shots

Reinaldo has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Levski Sofia, at 2.89 per 90 across 1,027 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.

Levski Sofia take 13.65 shots a game and hit 4.35 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

TBC
Bernardo Vital 1+ Fouls Committed

Bernardo Vital has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Jagiellonia Bialystok, at 1.7 per 90 across 1,168 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

Levski Sofia hold 62.88% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

TBC

Trends

Window shown per line
0/60%Levski Sofia · Last sixLevski Sofia have gone past three and a half goals in 0 of their last six.
0/60%Levski Sofia · Last sixLevski Sofia have picked up two or more cards in 0 of their last six.
17/2085%Jagiellonia Bialystok · Last 20Jagiellonia Bialystok have gone past one and a half goals in 17 of their last twenty.
5/683%Jagiellonia Bialystok · Last six awayJagiellonia Bialystok have gone past one and a half goals in five of their last six on the road.
1/617%Jagiellonia Bialystok · Last six awayJagiellonia Bialystok have kept a clean sheet in one of their last six on the road.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Levski Sofia

31 OctFK Dunav Ruse (A)1-0W
27 OctArda Kardzhali (A)1-1D
22 OctViktoria Plzen (A)2-1W
15 OctNEC Nijmegen (A)1-1D
11 OctCherno More Varna (A)2-0W
17 SepRed Bull Salzburg (H)0-1L

Jagiellonia Bialystok

31 OctWieczysta Krakow (A)3-1W
28 OctKS Lechia Gdansk (A)6-0W
25 OctWisla Plock (H)1-0W
22 OctRSC Anderlecht (H)0-3L
18 OctZaglebie Lubin (A)0-1L
15 OctFC Ararat-Armenia (H)3-1W
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Build Your Own Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Bet

Guilherme Montoia to be Carded12/53.40
Why this bet4 of his last 10, 0.41 per 90
Levski Sofia to Win19/201.95
Why this bet51% on our numbers
Reinaldo 1+ ShotsTBC
Why this betReinaldo has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Levski Sofia, at 2.89 per 90 across 1,027 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.Levski Sofia take 13.65 shots a game and hit 4.35 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Bernardo Vital 1+ Fouls CommittedTBC
Why this betBernardo Vital has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Jagiellonia Bialystok, at 1.7 per 90 across 1,168 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Levski Sofia hold 62.88% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Correct Score 1-015/28.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Levski Sofia 1.74 against Jagiellonia Bialystok 1.08, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.4%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Levski Sofia, which is where the board has the match too.
Under 4.5 Cards5/61.83
Why this betLevski Sofia average 3.18 cards in a match and Jagiellonia Bialystok 3.35, so 3.27 here. Our numbers make it 77% against the 55% the price implies.
Under 2.5 Goals1/12.00
Why this betLevski Sofia are expected 1.52 at home and Jagiellonia Bialystok 1.11 away, so 2.64 in the match. Our numbers make it 51% against the 50% the price implies.
Both Teams to Score – No21/202.05
Why this betOne side is expected to be kept out – 1.52 against 1.11. Our numbers make it 47% against the 49% the price implies.
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