Lillestrom SK vs Viktoria Plzen Predictions and Stats

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Lillestrom SK vs Viktoria Plzen

Thu 5 Nov, 17:45 · Europa League

Lillestrom SKWWWLWD
Viktoria PlzenWWLLWL
Our predictionFrederik Elkaer 1+ Shots8/11

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Lillestrom SK 5 in the Europa League and 15 across two others, Viktoria Plzen 5 in the Europa League and 15 across two others

Goals

1.40Scored per game2.00
1.65Conceded per game1.80
Home gamesAway games
1.30Scored2.30
2.20Conceded1.80
Correct Score 1-28/1

On the venue splits this projects Lillestrom SK 1.86 against Viktoria Plzen 2.17, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.9%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Viktoria Plzen, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.44xG for1.39
1.69xG against1.25
-0.04Goals vs xG+0.61
Viktoria Plzen to Win23/20

Viktoria Plzen have won 7 of their last 20, drawing 4, and on the road they have scored 2.30 a game and conceded 1.80 across 10 matches.

Lillestrom SK average 1.40 scored and 1.65 conceded. The venue splits project 1.86 against 2.17, which puts Viktoria Plzen at about 45% to win, against 20% for the draw.

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Under and Over

90%Over 1.5 goals95%
60%Over 2.5 goals85%
30%Over 3.5 goals40%
Over 2.5 Goals4/7

Lillestrom SK have gone past 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 20 matches and Viktoria Plzen in 85%, with 90% and 95% going past 1.5.

Lillestrom SK average 1.40 scored and 1.65 conceded, Viktoria Plzen 2.00 and 1.80. On the venue splits that projects 1.86 against 2.17, about 4.0 goals in the match and 75% for over 2.5.

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Both Teams to Score

55%Both teams scored65%
5 of 20Clean sheets4 of 20
5 of 20Failed to score4 of 20
Both Teams to Score1/2

Both teams have scored in 11 of Lillestrom SK’s last 20 matches and 13 of Viktoria Plzen’s. Lillestrom SK concede 1.65 a game and Viktoria Plzen 1.80.

On the venue splits the projection is 1.86 against 2.17, which puts both teams scoring at about 67%.

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Shots

12.17Shots per game12.50
3.89On target per game5.20
32.0%Accuracy41.6%

Corners

5.22Won per game4.80
1.72First half1.80
33.0%Share before the break37.5%
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Cards and Fouls

3.72Cards in the match4.50
1.56Own cards per game1.90
0.83Cards by half time1.50
11.83Fouls committed11.10
Under 4.5 Cards11/10

Lillestrom SK average 3.72 cards in a match and Viktoria Plzen 4.50, so 4.11 here. Our numbers make it 61% against the 48% the price implies.

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Shooting Detail

8.28Shots inside the box7.70
3.89Shots outside the box4.80
5.50Off target5.80
3.89Blocked4.15

Big Chances

2.50Big chances created1.95
1.78Big chances missed1.15
29%Taken41%
21.50Touches in the box19.95

Record

8-5-7Won, drawn, lost7-4-9
5 of 20Clean sheets4 of 20
5 of 20Failed to score4 of 20

Possession

49.61%Average share51.20%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Lars RangerLillestrom SK · D11402.130.161.422.293.630
Gustav Kjolstad NyheimLillestrom SK · M11391.190.42.532.131.985
Ylldren IbrahimajLillestrom SK · M11271.280.240.880.41.23
Ruben GabrielsenLillestrom SK · D10800.580.080.580.331.332
Frederik ElkaerLillestrom SK · D10041.170.180.990.722.063
Stian KristiansenLillestrom SK · D9060.20.10.71.790.891
Thomas Lehne OlsenLillestrom SK · F8264.251.20.980.540.220
Yaw PaintsilLillestrom SK · D8090.780.111.111.891.670
Filip OttossonLillestrom SK · M7610.590.121.060.241.890
Sander Moen FossLillestrom SK · D7210.750.120.250.121.120
Eric KitolanoLillestrom SK · M7150.880.130.250.51.260
Fredrik GulbrandsenLillestrom SK · F6402.391.552.110.70.844
Daniel BassiLillestrom SK · F5940.610.31.210.31.060
Sampson DwehViktoria Plzen · D14851.210.421.520.362.365
Patrik HrosovskyViktoria Plzen · M13991.610.320.450.91.091
Amar MemicViktoria Plzen · F11942.340.90.981.360.61
Merchas DoskiViktoria Plzen · D10030.450.091.792.062.513
Lukas CervViktoria Plzen · M9781.660.551.382.391.753
Alexandr SojkaViktoria Plzen · F8760.920.10.411.030.922
Filip PrebslViktoria Plzen · D8500.110.00.740.851.692
Christophe KabongoViktoria Plzen · F8142.651.111.880.771.553
Cheick SouareViktoria Plzen · M7121.770.380.880.630.880
Tomas LadraViktoria Plzen · F6703.090.670.671.070.670
Adam GabrielViktoria Plzen · D6611.50.540.951.51.52
Tobias PaliscakViktoria Plzen · D6270.430.140.860.142.581
Stefan PirgicViktoria Plzen · M6060.740.31.042.081.343
Denis VisinskyViktoria Plzen · M5960.910.30.61.961.210
Prince Kwabena AduViktoria Plzen · F5194.161.562.251.560.691
Karel SpacilViktoria Plzen · D4420.810.411.020.410.810

Advised props

Frederik Elkaer 1+ Shots

Frederik Elkaer has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Lillestrom SK, at 1.17 per 90 across 1,004 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.

Lillestrom SK take 12.17 shots a game and hit 3.89 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.

8/11Add
Sampson Dweh 1+ Shots on Target

Sampson Dweh has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Viktoria Plzen, at 0.42 per 90 across 1,485 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

Viktoria Plzen take 12.5 shots a game and hit 5.2 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.

5/2Add
Ruben Gabrielsen 1+ Shots

Ruben Gabrielsen has had a shot in 5 of his last 10 for Lillestrom SK, at 0.58 per 90 across 1,080 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

Lillestrom SK take 12.17 shots a game and hit 3.89 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.

5/4Add
Amar Memic 1+ Shots on Target

Amar Memic has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Viktoria Plzen, at 0.9 per 90 across 1,194 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.

Viktoria Plzen take 12.5 shots a game and hit 5.2 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.

5/6Add
Merchas Doski 1+ Fouls Committed

Merchas Doski has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Viktoria Plzen, at 1.79 per 90 across 1,003 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

Lillestrom SK hold 49.61% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

TBC

Trends

Window shown per line
6/6100%Lillestrom SK · Last six at homeLillestrom SK have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six at home.
18/2090%Lillestrom SK · Last 20Lillestrom SK have gone past one and a half goals in 18 of their last twenty.
15/1883%Lillestrom SK · Last 20Lillestrom SK have seen ten or more corners in the match in 15 of their last twenty.
6/6100%Viktoria Plzen · Last sixViktoria Plzen have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Viktoria Plzen · Last sixViktoria Plzen have gone past two and a half goals in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Viktoria Plzen · Last sixViktoria Plzen have scored in every one of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Lillestrom SK

01 NovIK Start (A)1-0W
28 OctSogndal IL (H)2-1W
25 OctSK Brann (H)3-2W
22 OctReal Sociedad (H)0-6L
18 OctSandefjord Fotball (A)2-0W
15 OctAC Sparta Praha (A)1-1D

Viktoria Plzen

01 NovBanik Ostrava (A)4-0W
28 OctVysocina Jihlava (A)6-1W
25 OctFK Pardubice (H)1-2L
22 OctLevski Sofia (H)1-2L
18 OctFK Jablonec (A)3-2W
15 OctFerencvaros TC (A)1-2L
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Build Your Own Lillestrom SK vs Viktoria Plzen Bet

Frederik Elkaer 1+ Shots8/111.73
Why this bet7 of his last 10, 1.17 per 90
Sampson Dweh 1+ Shots on Target5/23.50
Why this bet4 of his last 10, 0.42 per 90
Over 2.5 Goals4/71.57
Why this bet75% on our numbers
Ruben Gabrielsen 1+ Shots5/42.25
Why this bet5 of his last 10, 0.58 per 90
Amar Memic 1+ Shots on Target5/61.83
Why this betAmar Memic has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Viktoria Plzen, at 0.9 per 90 across 1,194 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.Viktoria Plzen take 12.5 shots a game and hit 5.2 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
Merchas Doski 1+ Fouls CommittedTBC
Why this betMerchas Doski has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Viktoria Plzen, at 1.79 per 90 across 1,003 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.Lillestrom SK hold 49.61% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim to be Carded15/44.75
Why this betGustav Kjolstad Nyheim has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Lillestrom SK, at 0.4 per 90 across 1,139 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.Lillestrom SK pick up 1.56 cards a game and there are 3.72 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 21% implied by 15/4.
Viktoria Plzen to Win23/202.15
Why this betViktoria Plzen have won 7 of their last 20, drawing 4, and on the road they have scored 2.30 a game and conceded 1.80 across 10 matches.Lillestrom SK average 1.40 scored and 1.65 conceded. The venue splits project 1.86 against 2.17, which puts Viktoria Plzen at about 45% to win, against 20% for the draw.
Both Teams to Score1/21.50
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 11 of Lillestrom SK’s last 20 matches and 13 of Viktoria Plzen’s. Lillestrom SK concede 1.65 a game and Viktoria Plzen 1.80.On the venue splits the projection is 1.86 against 2.17, which puts both teams scoring at about 67%.
Correct Score 1-28/19.00
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Lillestrom SK 1.86 against Viktoria Plzen 2.17, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.9%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Viktoria Plzen, which is where the board has the match too.
Viktoria Plzen to Win and Both Teams to Score13/53.60
Why this betTwo things have to land, and the numbers support both: Viktoria Plzen to win is about 45% and both teams scoring about 67%. Viktoria Plzen score 2.00 a game and concede 1.80, and Lillestrom SK have scored in 11 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 13/5.
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