Milan vs Ferencvaros TC Predictions and Stats

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Milan vs Ferencvaros TC

Thu 5 Nov, 17:45 · Europa League

MilanWLWLWW
Ferencvaros TCWWWWDW
Our predictionBoth Teams to Score19/20

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Milan 17 in Serie A and 3 in the Europa League, Ferencvaros TC 8 in the Europa League and 12 across two others

Goals

1.55Scored per game2.35
1.40Conceded per game0.65
Home gamesAway games
1.60Scored2.40
1.70Conceded0.60
Correct Score 2-115/2

On the venue splits this projects Milan 1.27 against Ferencvaros TC 2.05, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.2%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Milan, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.57xG for1.54
1.36xG against0.76
-0.02Goals vs xG+0.81

Under and Over

90%Over 1.5 goals80%
60%Over 2.5 goals55%
30%Over 3.5 goals40%
Over 2.5 Goals8/15

Milan have gone past 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 20 matches and Ferencvaros TC in 55%, with 90% and 80% going past 1.5.

Milan average 1.55 scored and 1.40 conceded, Ferencvaros TC 2.35 and 0.65. On the venue splits that projects 1.27 against 2.05, about 3.3 goals in the match and 61% for over 2.5.

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Both Teams to Score

50%Both teams scored55%
6 of 20Clean sheets9 of 20
5 of 20Failed to score1 of 20
Both Teams to Score19/20

Both teams have scored in 10 of Milan’s last 20 matches and 11 of Ferencvaros TC’s. Milan concede 1.40 a game and Ferencvaros TC 0.65.

On the venue splits the projection is 1.27 against 2.05, which puts both teams scoring at about 58%.

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Shots

12.00Shots per game11.95
4.35On target per game5.55
36.2%Accuracy46.4%

Corners

3.30Won per game6.10
1.40First half2.05
42.4%Share before the break33.6%
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Cards and Fouls

3.85Cards in the match3.60
1.85Own cards per game1.95
1.15Cards by half time0.75
10.75Fouls committed12.10

Shooting Detail

8.35Shots inside the box8.10
3.65Shots outside the box3.50
4.90Off target6.35
2.75Blocked3.55

Big Chances

2.85Big chances created2.60
1.75Big chances missed1.65
39%Taken37%
23.70Touches in the box20.80

Record

9-4-7Won, drawn, lost13-7-0
6 of 20Clean sheets9 of 20
5 of 20Failed to score1 of 20

Possession

54.05%Average share50.45%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Strahinja PavlovicMilan · D17910.80.21.111.162.165
Adrien RabiotMilan · F13291.960.681.561.92.032
Koni De WinterMilan · D13120.410.01.510.691.784
Goncalo RamosMilan · F10102.670.981.691.511.072
Davide BartesaghiMilan · D9620.650.190.840.472.151
Luka ModricMilan · M9550.380.090.660.941.411
Yunus MusahMilan · M8510.420.00.851.590.950
Christian PulisicMilan · F8502.331.060.640.950.851
Ardon JashariMilan · M7890.80.340.910.80.80
Mario GilaMilan · D7400.360.240.971.091.581
Pervis EstupinanMilan · D5880.920.01.530.462.145
Alphadjo CisseMilan · M5572.911.781.452.420.481
Diego MoreiraMilan · D5051.780.890.181.431.251
Kristoffer ZachariassenFerencvaros TC · F10942.471.231.811.071.323
Marius CorbuFerencvaros TC · M10762.340.751.341.02.174
Mariano GomezFerencvaros TC · D10261.580.531.050.351.322
Toon RaemaekersFerencvaros TC · D9900.640.181.091.271.03
CaduFerencvaros TC · D9110.490.11.381.281.883
Yusuf BamideleFerencvaros TC · F8603.031.051.882.30.14
Attila OsvathFerencvaros TC · D8551.470.321.371.161.472
Adam NagyFerencvaros TC · M7520.240.01.320.722.031
Daniel ArzaniFerencvaros TC · F5921.820.611.522.131.670
Veljko BirmancevicFerencvaros TC · F4442.641.221.223.651.220
Krisztian LisztesFerencvaros TC · F4323.751.254.171.881.251

Advised props

Adrien Rabiot Anytime Goalscorer

Adrien Rabiot has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Milan, at 0.41 per 90 across 1,329 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.

Milan score 1.55 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 35% implied by 15/8.

15/8Add
Strahinja Pavlovic to be Carded

Strahinja Pavlovic has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Milan, at 0.25 per 90 across 1,791 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

Milan pick up 1.85 cards a game and there are 3.85 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.

3/1Add
Yusuf Bamidele 2+ Shots

Yusuf Bamidele has had 2 or more shots in 7 of his last 10 for Ferencvaros TC, at 3.03 per 90 across 860 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays.

Ferencvaros TC take 11.95 shots a game and hit 5.55 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

TBC
Koni De Winter 1+ Fouls Committed

Koni De Winter has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Milan, at 1.51 per 90 across 1,312 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

Ferencvaros TC hold 50.45% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

TBC
Koni De Winter to be Carded

Koni De Winter has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Milan, at 0.27 per 90 across 1,312 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

Milan pick up 1.85 cards a game and there are 3.85 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.

9/2Add

Trends

Window shown per line
6/6100%Milan · Last sixMilan have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Milan · Last six at homeMilan have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six at home.
0/60%Milan · Last sixMilan have won six or more corners in 0 of their last six.
20/20100%Ferencvaros TC · Last 20Ferencvaros TC are unbeaten in every one of their last twenty.
6/6100%Ferencvaros TC · Last six awayFerencvaros TC have seen ten or more corners in the match in every one of their last six on the road.
6/6100%Ferencvaros TC · Last six awayFerencvaros TC are unbeaten in every one of their last six on the road.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Milan

31 OctInter (H)3-1W
28 OctBologna (H)2-4L
25 OctUdinese (A)2-0W
22 OctBournemouth (A)0-3L
18 OctAtalanta (H)3-2W
15 OctRed Bull Salzburg (A)4-0W

Ferencvaros TC

01 NovPaksi FC (H)2-0W
28 OctBicskei TC (A)4-1W
25 OctMTK Budapest (H)5-0W
22 OctTorreense (H)4-1W
18 OctKisvarda FC (A)1-1D
15 OctViktoria Plzen (H)2-1W
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Build Your Own Milan vs Ferencvaros TC Bet

Both Teams to Score19/201.95
Why this bet58% on our numbers
Adrien Rabiot Anytime Goalscorer15/82.88
Why this bet4 of his last 10, 0.41 per 90
Strahinja Pavlovic to be Carded3/14.00
Why this bet3 of his last 10, 0.25 per 90
Over 2.5 Goals8/151.53
Why this bet61% on our numbers
Yusuf Bamidele 2+ ShotsTBC
Why this betYusuf Bamidele has had 2 or more shots in 7 of his last 10 for Ferencvaros TC, at 3.03 per 90 across 860 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays.Ferencvaros TC take 11.95 shots a game and hit 5.55 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Koni De Winter 1+ Fouls CommittedTBC
Why this betKoni De Winter has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Milan, at 1.51 per 90 across 1,312 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.Ferencvaros TC hold 50.45% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Koni De Winter to be Carded9/25.50
Why this betKoni De Winter has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Milan, at 0.27 per 90 across 1,312 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.Milan pick up 1.85 cards a game and there are 3.85 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.
Correct Score 2-115/28.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Milan 1.27 against Ferencvaros TC 2.05, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.2%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Milan, which is where the board has the match too.
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