Northern Ireland vs Ukraine Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Andy Clark
Northern Ireland v Ukraine - Nations League predictions and stats
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Northern Ireland vs Ukraine

Sat 14 Nov, 19:45 · Nations League

Northern IrelandDWDWLW
UkraineLLDWWW

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Northern Ireland 6 in the Nations League and 14 across two others, Ukraine 9 in the Nations League and 11 across two others

Goals

1.10Scored per game1.35
1.10Conceded per game1.55
Home gamesAway games
0.89Scored1.45
0.22Conceded1.64
Correct Score 1-011/2

On the venue splits this projects Northern Ireland 1.36 against Ukraine 0.93, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 12.5%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Northern Ireland, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

0.78xG for0.97
1.06xG against1.30
+0.32Goals vs xG+0.38
Northern Ireland to Win31/20

Northern Ireland have won 8 of their last 20, drawing 5, and at home they have scored 0.89 a game and conceded 0.22 across 9 matches.

Ukraine average 1.35 scored and 1.55 conceded. The venue splits project 1.36 against 0.93, which puts Northern Ireland at about 42% to win, against 28% for the draw.

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Under and Over

60%Over 1.5 goals85%
35%Over 2.5 goals55%
25%Over 3.5 goals25%
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Both Teams to Score

40%Both teams scored55%
9 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20
5 of 20Failed to score5 of 20

Shots

9.50Shots per game11.06
3.20On target per game4.12
33.7%Accuracy37.3%

Corners

3.45Won per game4.29
1.60First half1.35
46.4%Share before the break31.5%
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Cards and Fouls

3.65Cards in the match4.12
1.80Own cards per game2.35
1.10Cards by half time0.94
11.70Fouls committed12.24
Under 4.5 Cards4/6

Northern Ireland average 3.65 cards in a match and Ukraine 4.12, so 3.88 here. Our numbers make it 65% against the 60% the price implies.

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Shooting Detail

5.85Shots inside the box6.65
3.65Shots outside the box4.41
4.15Off target4.47
2.15Blocked2.47

Big Chances

2.05Big chances created2.06
1.40Big chances missed1.12
32%Taken46%
15.05Touches in the box19.24

Record

8-5-7Won, drawn, lost9-4-7
9 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20
5 of 20Failed to score5 of 20

Possession

36.15%Average share50.41%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Isaac PriceNorthern Ireland · F16752.260.810.481.021.181
Shea CharlesNorthern Ireland · M15661.150.291.552.532.32
Trai HumeNorthern Ireland · D15560.520.170.810.752.493
Justin DevennyNorthern Ireland · D13670.530.330.40.663.032
Ethan GalbraithNorthern Ireland · M11520.780.231.561.091.254
Ruairi McConvilleNorthern Ireland · D10280.960.180.790.611.491
Ciaron BrownNorthern Ireland · D9470.480.190.861.050.672
Brodie SpencerNorthern Ireland · D9170.490.12.261.371.862
Jamie DonleyNorthern Ireland · F8131.990.771.112.320.771
Paddy McNairNorthern Ireland · D7930.230.00.340.450.791
Conor BradleyNorthern Ireland · D7310.860.121.62.833.822
Ali McCannNorthern Ireland · M6470.280.141.951.112.51
Tom AtchesonNorthern Ireland · D4280.840.211.050.00.630
George SavilleNorthern Ireland · M4230.640.431.71.911.492
Ilya ZabarnyiUkraine · D14400.380.190.381.121.061
Mykola MatvienkoUkraine · D11460.470.00.630.390.863
Georgiy SudakovUkraine · F9611.870.660.561.310.750
Ivan KalyuzhnyiUkraine · M7890.680.111.710.343.081
Vitaliy MykolenkoUkraine · D7890.110.110.81.251.482
Yukhym KonoplyaUkraine · D6760.530.02.00.42.662
Oleksiy GutsulyakUkraine · M6421.680.981.41.682.81
Oleksandr ZubkovUkraine · M5902.291.070.921.222.291
Oleh OcheretkoUkraine · M5660.950.321.750.954.452
Yehor YarmoliukUkraine · M5530.650.00.980.983.091
Vladyslav VanatUkraine · F5311.690.851.530.680.172
Oleksandr ZinchenkoUkraine · D5101.410.711.060.183.532
Roman YaremchukUkraine · F4901.841.11.291.290.920
Mykola ShaparenkoUkraine · M4560.590.21.380.591.972
Artem DovbykUkraine · F4102.411.11.320.220.441

Advised props

Georgiy Sudakov 1+ Shots

Georgiy Sudakov has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Ukraine, at 1.87 per 90 across 961 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.

Ukraine take 11.06 shots a game and hit 4.12 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Ethan Galbraith 2+ Fouls Committed

Ethan Galbraith has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Northern Ireland, at 1.56 per 90 across 1,152 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.

Ukraine hold 50.41% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.

2/1Add

Trends

Window shown per line
0/60%Northern Ireland · Last six at homeNorthern Ireland have gone past three and a half goals in 0 of their last six at home.
0/60%Northern Ireland · Last six at homeNorthern Ireland have gone past two and a half goals in 0 of their last six at home.
0/60%Ukraine · Last sixUkraine have gone past three and a half goals in 0 of their last six.
5/5100%Ukraine · Last six awayUkraine have picked up two or more cards in every one of their last six on the road.
0/50%Ukraine · Last six awayUkraine have seen eleven or more corners in the match in 0 of their last six on the road.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Northern Ireland

05 OctGeorgia (H)0-0D
02 OctUkraine (A)3-0W
28 SepHungary (H)0-0D
25 SepGeorgia (A)1-0W
08 JunFrance (A)1-3L
04 JunGuinea (H)1-0W

Ukraine

05 OctHungary (H)1-2L
02 OctNorthern Ireland (H)0-3L
28 SepGeorgia (A)0-0D
25 SepHungary (A)1-0W
31 MayPoland (A)2-0W
31 MarAlbania (H)1-0W
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Build Your Own Northern Ireland vs Ukraine Bet

Georgiy Sudakov 1+ Shots
Why this betGeorgiy Sudakov has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Ukraine, at 1.87 per 90 across 961 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.Ukraine take 11.06 shots a game and hit 4.12 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Ethan Galbraith 2+ Fouls Committed2/13.00
Why this betEthan Galbraith has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Northern Ireland, at 1.56 per 90 across 1,152 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.Ukraine hold 50.41% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.
Northern Ireland to Win31/202.55
Why this betNorthern Ireland have won 8 of their last 20, drawing 5, and at home they have scored 0.89 a game and conceded 0.22 across 9 matches.Ukraine average 1.35 scored and 1.55 conceded. The venue splits project 1.36 against 0.93, which puts Northern Ireland at about 42% to win, against 28% for the draw.
Correct Score 1-011/26.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Northern Ireland 1.36 against Ukraine 0.93, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 12.5%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Northern Ireland, which is where the board has the match too.
Under 4.5 Cards4/61.67
Why this betNorthern Ireland average 3.65 cards in a match and Ukraine 4.12, so 3.88 here. Our numbers make it 65% against the 60% the price implies.
Both Teams to Score – No4/61.67
Why this betOne side is expected to be kept out – 1.26 against 0.84. Our numbers make it 59% against the 60% the price implies.
Under 2.5 Goals19/401.48
Why this betNorthern Ireland are expected 1.26 at home and Ukraine 0.84 away, so 2.10 in the match. Our numbers make it 65% against the 68% the price implies.
Over 2.5 Goals8/52.60
Why this betNorthern Ireland are expected 1.26 at home and Ukraine 0.84 away, so 2.10 in the match. Our numbers make it 35% against the 38% the price implies.
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