Romania vs Poland Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Romania v Poland - Nations League predictions and stats
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Romania vs Poland

Sat 14 Nov, 19:45 · Nations League

RomaniaLLLLWD
PolandLWLDDL

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Romania 6 in the Nations League and 14 across two others, Poland 6 in the Nations League and 14 across two others

Goals

1.65Scored per game1.60
1.70Conceded per game1.30
Home gamesAway games
2.00Scored1.38
1.30Conceded2.12
Correct Score 1-215/2

On the venue splits this projects Romania 1.83 against Poland 1.41, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.8%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Poland, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.25xG for1.45
1.24xG against0.87
+0.40Goals vs xG+0.15

Under and Over

80%Over 1.5 goals80%
65%Over 2.5 goals50%
35%Over 3.5 goals35%
Over 2.5 Goals8/11

Romania have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Poland in 50%, with 80% and 80% going past 1.5.

Romania average 1.65 scored and 1.70 conceded, Poland 1.60 and 1.30. On the venue splits that projects 1.83 against 1.41, about 3.2 goals in the match and 60% for over 2.5.

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Both Teams to Score

60%Both teams scored55%
2 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
6 of 20Failed to score3 of 20
Both Teams to Score4/6

Both teams have scored in 12 of Romania’s last 20 matches and 11 of Poland’s. Romania concede 1.70 a game and Poland 1.30.

On the venue splits the projection is 1.83 against 1.41, which puts both teams scoring at about 60%.

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Shots

13.59Shots per game16.76
4.59On target per game6.18
33.8%Accuracy36.9%

Corners

4.65Won per game5.94
2.35First half2.94
50.5%Share before the break49.5%
Over 8.5 Corners5/6

Romania win 4.65 corners a game and Poland 5.94, with 2.35 and 2.94 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 11 in the match, a 73% chance of 9 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.

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Cards and Fouls

4.47Cards in the match4.06
1.88Own cards per game1.94
1.47Cards by half time1.53
13.35Fouls committed11.71

Shooting Detail

8.18Shots inside the box8.76
5.41Shots outside the box7.29
5.29Off target5.65
3.71Blocked4.94

Big Chances

2.24Big chances created2.18
0.94Big chances missed1.41
58%Taken35%
23.24Touches in the box27.82

Record

8-2-10Won, drawn, lost9-4-7
2 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
6 of 20Failed to score3 of 20

Possession

51.59%Average share50.29%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Andrei RatiuRomania · D13450.80.270.470.81.940
Dennis ManRomania · F11571.870.71.321.241.42
Andrei BurcaRomania · D9120.390.10.890.490.993
Nicusor BancuRomania · D8930.40.10.810.811.913
Nicolae StanciuRomania · M7102.540.631.272.281.273
Marius MarinRomania · M6880.130.02.352.092.880
Ianis HagiRomania · M6542.480.410.961.511.791
Daniel BirligeaRomania · F6512.761.241.111.110.830
Denis DragusRomania · F6173.51.462.192.191.170
Vlad DragomirRomania · M6091.480.151.771.480.591
Valentin MihailaRomania · F5971.660.150.751.360.752
Virgil GhitaRomania · D5750.470.161.410.311.252
Mihai PopescuRomania · D4581.180.391.180.981.180
Jakub KiwiorPoland · D13950.710.320.970.392.192
Sebastian SzymanskiPoland · M11232.080.720.82.562.720
Piotr ZielinskiPoland · M11092.110.570.650.490.733
Matty CashPoland · D9582.821.031.320.561.971
Nicola ZalewskiPoland · M9481.520.280.951.990.853
Jakub KaminskiPoland · M9022.21.10.91.00.60
Robert LewandowskiPoland · F8683.421.141.762.181.043
Karol SwiderskiPoland · M6682.691.481.082.020.272
Bartosz SliszPoland · M5700.630.161.420.471.422
Przemyslaw WisniewskiPoland · D5130.880.182.110.351.933
Michal SkorasPoland · F4471.010.21.012.422.820
Przemyslaw FrankowskiPoland · D4062.440.671.330.672.441

Advised props

Jakub Kiwior 1+ Shots

Jakub Kiwior has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Poland, at 0.71 per 90 across 1,395 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

Poland take 16.76 shots a game and hit 6.18 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.

4/5Add
Przemyslaw Frankowski 3+ Shots

Przemyslaw Frankowski has had 3 or more shots in 3 of his last 6 for Poland, at 2.44 per 90 across 406 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.

Poland take 16.76 shots a game and hit 6.18 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 17% implied by 5/1.

5/1Add
Matty Cash 1+ Shots on Target

Matty Cash has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Poland, at 1.03 per 90 across 958 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.

Poland take 16.76 shots a game and hit 6.18 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.

11/8Add
Robert Lewandowski 2+ Fouls Committed

Robert Lewandowski has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Poland, at 1.76 per 90 across 868 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.

Romania hold 51.59% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.

6/4Add
Andrei Coubis 3+ Fouls Committed

Andrei Coubis has committed 3 or more fouls in 2 of his last 5 for Romania, at 2.01 per 90 across 359 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.

Poland hold 50.29% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 9% implied by 10/1.

10/1Add

Trends

Window shown per line
0/60%Romania · Last sixRomania have kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last six.
2/2010%Romania · Last 20Romania have kept a clean sheet in two of their last twenty.
5/683%Romania · Last sixRomania have gone past one and a half goals in five of their last six.
5/5100%Poland · Last sixPoland have picked up two or more cards in every one of their last six.
0/50%Poland · Last sixPoland have seen eleven or more corners in the match in 0 of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Romania

05 OctSweden (H)0-1L
02 OctPoland (A)0-6L
28 SepBosnia and Herzegovina (H)2-4L
25 SepSweden (A)1-2L
06 JunWales (H)2-1W
02 JunGeorgia (A)1-1D

Poland

05 OctBosnia and Herzegovina (A)0-1L
02 OctRomania (H)6-0W
28 SepSweden (A)1-3L
25 SepBosnia and Herzegovina (H)0-0D
03 JunNigeria (H)2-2D
31 MayUkraine (H)0-2L
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Build Your Own Romania vs Poland Bet

Jakub Kiwior 1+ Shots4/51.80
Why this betJakub Kiwior has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Poland, at 0.71 per 90 across 1,395 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Poland take 16.76 shots a game and hit 6.18 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.
Przemyslaw Frankowski 3+ Shots5/16.00
Why this betPrzemyslaw Frankowski has had 3 or more shots in 3 of his last 6 for Poland, at 2.44 per 90 across 406 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.Poland take 16.76 shots a game and hit 6.18 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 17% implied by 5/1.
Matty Cash 1+ Shots on Target11/82.38
Why this betMatty Cash has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Poland, at 1.03 per 90 across 958 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.Poland take 16.76 shots a game and hit 6.18 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.
Robert Lewandowski 2+ Fouls Committed6/42.50
Why this betRobert Lewandowski has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Poland, at 1.76 per 90 across 868 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.Romania hold 51.59% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.
Andrei Coubis 3+ Fouls Committed10/111.00
Why this betAndrei Coubis has committed 3 or more fouls in 2 of his last 5 for Romania, at 2.01 per 90 across 359 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.Poland hold 50.29% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 9% implied by 10/1.
Nicola Zalewski to be Carded15/44.75
Why this betNicola Zalewski has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Poland, at 0.28 per 90 across 948 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.Poland pick up 1.94 cards a game and there are 4.06 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 21% implied by 15/4.
Over 8.5 Corners5/61.83
Why this betRomania win 4.65 corners a game and Poland 5.94, with 2.35 and 2.94 of those in the first half.That leaves about 11 in the match, a 73% chance of 9 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.
Both Teams to Score4/61.67
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 12 of Romania’s last 20 matches and 11 of Poland’s. Romania concede 1.70 a game and Poland 1.30.On the venue splits the projection is 1.83 against 1.41, which puts both teams scoring at about 60%.
Over 2.5 Goals8/111.73
Why this betRomania have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Poland in 50%, with 80% and 80% going past 1.5.Romania average 1.65 scored and 1.70 conceded, Poland 1.60 and 1.30. On the venue splits that projects 1.83 against 1.41, about 3.2 goals in the match and 60% for over 2.5.
Correct Score 1-215/28.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Romania 1.83 against Poland 1.41, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.8%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Poland, which is where the board has the match too.
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