Everton vs Wolves betting tips, bet builder legs and predictions from our stats model, weighing recent form, player props and the latest odds to find the best bets.
5 selections, and rotation is the risk on every one of them. This is a cup tie three days after a league weekend, and both managers will change the side. Each selection below carries the player’s average minutes across his last ten, which is the best guide the data gives to whether he starts.
Everton vs Wolverhampton Team Stats
Everton
- D0-0at Tottenham Hotspur12 Sep
- D2-2Manchester United06 Sep
- D1-1at Bournemouth29 Aug
- W2-0Crystal Palace22 Aug
- L0-1at Tottenham Hotspur24 May
- L1-3Sunderland17 May
Wolverhampton
- W1-0at Sheffield United13 Sep
- D2-2at Birmingham City06 Sep
- L2-4at West Ham United01 Sep
- W4-1Stoke City29 Aug
- W3-1at Preston North End22 Aug
- D2-2Blackburn Rovers14 Aug
Everton vs Wolves Betting Tips
M. Mané 4+ Shots — 4/1. Mateus Mané has had 4 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for Wolverhampton, at 2.28 per 90 across 1,498 minutes.
J. Tchatchoua 1+ Fouls Drawn — 9/4. Jackson Tchatchoua has been fouled once in 5 of his last 10 for Wolverhampton, at 0.76 per 90 across 1,060 minutes.
S. Bueno 2+ Foul Committed — 7/4. Santiago Bueno has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Wolverhampton, at 1.14 per 90 across 1,260 minutes.
J. Branthwaite 1+ Shot on Target — 9/4. Jarrad Branthwaite has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Everton, at 0.43 per 90 across 1,049 minutes.
Both Teams to Score — 4/5. Our model gives this about 62% against the 56% implied by 4/5, from the two sides’ records across their last 20.
Potential Bet Builder Legs Based on Our Stats Model
| Selection | Odds | Our model | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mané 4+ Shots | 4/1 | 40% | 20% | +20 |
| J. Tchatchoua 1+ Fouls Drawn | 9/4 | 50% | 31% | +19 |
| S. Bueno 2+ Foul Committed | 7/4 | 50% | 36% | +14 |
| J. Branthwaite 1+ Shot on Target | 9/4 | 40% | 31% | +9 |
| Both Teams to Score | 4/5 | 62% | 56% | +6 |
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
These are legs worth considering inside a bet builder, where several combine into a price worth taking. Every one is a market where our stats model gives the selection more chance of landing than the bookmaker’s odds imply.
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin – so an edge of two or three points sits inside that margin rather than being a genuine disagreement.
The bet builder below is the one we have picked from these markets.
Player Props Bet Finder
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Every player bet365 have priced for this match, with each player’s record over his last ten alongside the price. No tips, no selections – the numbers and the odds side by side.
A Note on Rotation
Team news matters more here than in any league fixture. Managers rest players for cup ties, and a hit rate built over ten matches describes a player who has been starting – not one who will start on Tuesday.
The average-minutes figure beside each selection is what we lean on. A player averaging 85 minutes has been playing whole matches; one at 65 has been coming off, and is more likely to be among those rested.
Lineups are confirmed an hour before kick-off, and that is the point to check before staking anything here.
Everton vs Wolves Prediction
We are predicting 2-1 to Everton. The market makes it 58% Everton, 24% the draw and 18% Wolves.
Everton score 1.60 a game at home and Wolves have conceded 21 in 11 away matches – 1.91 a game, the leakiest travelling defence of the ten ties this week.
Both teams to score is the strongest market here. Everton are 13 of 20 and Wolves 12 of 20, which gives about 62% – the highest of any tie in this round – and the two sides average 2.88 goals between them.
Wolves have found the net in 11 of their 11 away matches, so the visiting goal is the part of it least in doubt.
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.