
Bet £25 get a £50 Free Bet
New Players Only. Min £25 qualifying bets, stake not returned. Free bet - one-time stake of £50, min odds 1.5, stake not returned. 1X wager the winnings. Wager from real balance first. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Max conversion: £200. Free bets and Bonuses are valid for 7 days. Limited to 1 sport & 5 casino brand/s within the network. Withdrawal requests void all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full Terms apply. 18+, Begambleaware,. 18+ | #ad | GambleAware.org
Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Estonia 8 in the Nations League and 12 across three others, Bulgaria 8 in the Nations League and 12 across three others
Goals
On the venue splits this projects Estonia 1.27 against Bulgaria 1.32, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.1%.
Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Estonia, which is where the board has the match too.
Expected Goals
Under and Over
Estonia are expected 1.35 at home and Bulgaria 1.49 away, so 2.84 in the match. Our numbers make it 54% against the 42% the price implies.
Bet £10 get £30 in Free Bets
New customers only. Opt in, deposit & bet £10+ on any sports market at minimum 1/1 odds within 7 days of registration. No cash out. Get £30 in Free Bets for selected markets. Free Bets expire in 7 days. T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org | Please gamble responsibly. 18+ | #ad | GambleAware.org
Both Teams to Score
Both sides are expected to score – 1.35 and 1.49. Our numbers make it 57% against the 45% the price implies.
Shots
Corners
Bet £5 get £30 in Free Bets
New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 6 x £5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned). Restrictions + T&Cs apply. 18+ | #ad | GambleAware.org
Cards and Fouls
Shooting Detail
Big Chances
Record
Possession
Player Props
Per 90| Player | Mins | Shots | On target | Fouls | Fouled | Tackles | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Schjonning-LarsenEstonia · D | 1334 | 0.34 | 0.07 | 0.61 | 1.01 | 0.94 | 1 |
| Maksim PaskotsiEstonia · D | 1250 | 0.94 | 0.5 | 1.15 | 0.07 | 1.15 | 3 |
| Mattias KaitEstonia · M | 1004 | 1.34 | 0.72 | 0.99 | 1.52 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Vlasiy SinyavskiyEstonia · D | 903 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Kevor PalumetsEstonia · M | 900 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 2 |
| Marten KuuskEstonia · D | 885 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.22 | 0.92 | 1.22 | 2 |
| Karol MetsEstonia · D | 838 | 0.11 | 0.0 | 1.72 | 0.54 | 1.29 | 5 |
| Rasmus PeetsonEstonia · D | 776 | 0.93 | 0.7 | 2.09 | 1.04 | 2.55 | 5 |
| Patrik KristalEstonia · F | 713 | 1.39 | 0.25 | 2.52 | 2.65 | 1.64 | 2 |
| Rocco Robert SheinEstonia · M | 633 | 0.85 | 0.28 | 1.28 | 0.85 | 1.71 | 1 |
| Markus PoomEstonia · M | 604 | 1.19 | 0.0 | 1.04 | 0.3 | 1.49 | 1 |
| Markus SoometsEstonia · M | 500 | 0.18 | 0.0 | 2.16 | 0.54 | 1.44 | 1 |
| Ioan YakovlevEstonia · M | 478 | 1.32 | 0.19 | 0.75 | 1.13 | 1.32 | 0 |
| Alex Matthias TammEstonia · F | 472 | 0.95 | 0.19 | 2.86 | 1.53 | 0.95 | 2 |
| Joseph SalisteEstonia · D | 470 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.96 | 0.57 | 2.49 | 1 |
| Robi SaarmaEstonia · F | 445 | 1.62 | 0.61 | 2.22 | 1.21 | 1.62 | 0 |
| Rauno SappinenEstonia · F | 423 | 1.49 | 1.49 | 2.13 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 1 |
| Ilia GruevBulgaria · M | 993 | 0.36 | 0.09 | 0.73 | 1.18 | 1.36 | 1 |
| Marin PetkovBulgaria · F | 684 | 1.84 | 0.79 | 1.05 | 3.03 | 2.5 | 2 |
| Andrian KraevBulgaria · M | 654 | 0.96 | 0.0 | 3.03 | 0.96 | 1.79 | 3 |
| Kristian DimitrovBulgaria · D | 641 | 0.42 | 0.14 | 0.7 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 2 |
| Emil TsenovBulgaria · D | 463 | 0.78 | 0.19 | 0.97 | 0.78 | 0.97 | 2 |
| Stefan VelkovBulgaria · D | 458 | 0.39 | 0.0 | 1.57 | 0.79 | 1.18 | 1 |
| Hristiyan PetrovBulgaria · D | 450 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 |
| Kiril DespodovBulgaria · F | 433 | 0.83 | 0.42 | 1.25 | 0.42 | 0.42 | 0 |
| Lukas PetkovBulgaria · F | 409 | 0.66 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.76 | 1.1 | 2 |
| Filip KrastevBulgaria · M | 402 | 1.12 | 0.22 | 0.67 | 2.46 | 2.69 | 0 |
Advised props
Maksim Paskotsi has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Estonia, at 0.94 per 90 across 1,250 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.
Estonia take 7.88 shots a game and hit 3.06 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Karol Mets has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Estonia, at 1.72 per 90 across 838 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.
Bulgaria hold 40.14% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Rasmus Peetson has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Estonia, at 0.58 per 90 across 776 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.
Estonia pick up 2.25 cards a game and there are 4.25 in their matches. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Trends
Window shown per line
Bet £10 Get £50 in Free Bets
New customers only. Register, deposit with a Debit Card, and place a first bet of £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports, to be settled within 7 days, to get £30 in Sports Free Bets and £20 in Bet Builder Free Bets within 24 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility & payment exclusions apply. Full T&Cs apply. 18+ | #ad | GambleAware.org
Build Your Own Estonia vs Bulgaria Bet
Why this bet
Maksim Paskotsi has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Estonia, at 0.94 per 90 across 1,250 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.Estonia take 7.88 shots a game and hit 3.06 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.Why this bet
Karol Mets has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Estonia, at 1.72 per 90 across 838 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.Bulgaria hold 40.14% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.Why this bet
Rasmus Peetson has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Estonia, at 0.58 per 90 across 776 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.Estonia pick up 2.25 cards a game and there are 4.25 in their matches. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.Why this bet
On the venue splits this projects Estonia 1.27 against Bulgaria 1.32, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.1%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Estonia, which is where the board has the match too.Why this bet
Both sides are expected to score – 1.35 and 1.49. Our numbers make it 57% against the 45% the price implies.Why this bet
Estonia are expected 1.35 at home and Bulgaria 1.49 away, so 2.84 in the match. Our numbers make it 54% against the 42% the price implies.Prices change, so check the slip before you stake. bet365 does not allow every combination of legs within one game.
More Nations League Predictions
Today
14:00Cyprus vs MontenegroUEFA Nations League12 tips14:00Latvia vs ArmeniaUEFA Nations League7 tips17:00Belarus vs AlbaniaUEFA Nations League7 tips17:00Finland vs San MarinoUEFA Nations League7 tips19:45Belgium vs ItalyUEFA Nations League19 tips19:45Croatia vs CzechiaUEFA Nations League15 tips19:45France vs TürkiyeUEFA Nations League13 tips19:45Spain vs EnglandUEFA Nations League14 tipsToday’s Football Tips
Thatsagoal Features
More features
A £30 Free Bet for Sunday’s Both Teams to Score Bets in the UEFA Nations League
Bet £10 on Belgium to Win and Both Teams to Score with Midnite and get £30 in free bets. Plus our six both teams to score bets with the reasons…
7 minutes ago-
Correct Score Tip at 17/2 in Cyprus vs Montenegro, Plus a £50 Free Bet
7 minutes ago -
A £50 Free Bet for Sunday’s Football Tips from the UEFA Nations League
7 minutes ago -
ITV Racing Tips for Cheltenham and Fontwell on Sunday 15th November
8 hours ago -
Cheltenham Betting Tips for Sunday 15th November with New Grandge the NAP
8 hours ago -
BOYLE Casino Offers for New Customers: Up to 100 Free Spins and 10 Free Spins Every Weekday
12 Nov 2026

Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.
