Our 11/1 four-fold bet builder with bet365 for the Scotland vs Brazil Group C Matchday 3 decider at Hard Rock Stadium Miami combines Brazil to win at 2/5, Over 2.5 goals at 20/23, Vinicius Junior to score or assist at 4/6, and Lewis Ferguson to be booked at 10/3.
It’s another massive game for Scotland as they look to secure their place in the round of 32, and progress beyond the group stage of a major tournament for the first time ever. They face a monumental task against Brazil, but a narrow defeat may still be enough to see them into the next round with three points as one of the best third-placed teams.
Steve Clarke’s side come into this one off the back of a 1-0 defeat to Morocco, which seems like a decent result in hindsight, as Scotland are still one of the best third-placed teams given their goal difference of 0. They performed well in the second half against the Moroccans, but will need to be better overall if they’re to get anything from this one.
Brazil have all but qualified for the next round, with a draw against Morocco in their opening game followed by a decent 3-0 victory over Haiti in matchday two. Even if they’re to lose to Scotland here, four points will almost certainly be enough for them to progress.
Kick-off is 11pm UK time on Wednesday 24 June 2026 (6pm ET in Miami Gardens). Live on BBC One and BBC iPlayer — Wednesday late-evening UK viewing.
Scotland vs Brazil Bet Builder Tip (11/1 with bet365)
| Bet Builder Leg | Odds |
|---|---|
| Brazil to Win | 2/5 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 20/23 |
| Vinicius Junior to Score or Assist | 4/6 |
| Lewis Ferguson to be Booked | 10/3 |
| Combined four-fold (bet365) | 11/1 |
Brazil to Win @ 2/5
I can’t see anything other than a Brazil win here, given the gulf in class between the two squads. Brazil have players who can produce a moment of magic out of nowhere, like Vini Junior did in that first game against Morocco, and I expect to see flashes of that here. Scotland need to perform better, and I think they will against Brazil, but I don’t think it’ll be enough to avoid defeat. Steve Clarke will set up his side in a defensive manner, and I think that will invite pressure. With the players Brazil have, I think it’s likely they’ll be able to break Scotland down, and I think they’ll come out on top.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 20/23
I think Brazil will score a couple, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the game ended something like 2-1, and Scotland still progress on goal difference. I think over 2.5 goals is a safe bet on Wednesday. Brazil managed three goals last time out, and will be up for it again here as they look to build on that performance before heading into the last 32 of the competition. Scotland will look to hit Brazil on the break, with ball carriers such as Ben Gannon-Doak looking to get his side up the pitch, and I think they’ll have a couple of chances. I think there’s a good chance of goals here, and 20/23 is decent odds for more than 2.5 goals in this one.
Vinicius Junior to Score or Assist @ 4/6
Vinicius Junior has had a great start to his World Cup campaign, with two goals and one assist in his opening two matches. He scored an excellent goal to equalise against Morocco, and bagged another in that 3-0 victory over Haiti, alongside an assist in that one. I think he will have plenty of opportunities to hurt Scotland here, and I expect him to have several chances. He will also likely create some for his teammates, and I think there’s a great chance of him to either score or assist again. At odds of 4/6, this is the strongest selection on this bet builder.
Lewis Ferguson to be Booked @ 10/3
I’m backing Scotland’s Lewis Ferguson to be carded in this one at odds of 10/3. The Bologna captain has arguably been Scotland’s best player at the World Cup so far, winning a lot of his midfield battles and doing the dirty work for his side in the middle of the park, and his distribution into forward areas has also been good for Steve Clarke’s side. He is yet to be carded at the World Cup, but has made three fouls in two games, being fouled on nine occasions, which is incredibly valuable for Scotland. That also shows he’s often in the thick of it, and it’ll be a difficult game against a very strong Brazil midfield. I think he will make a couple of fouls, and I think there’s a good chance of him picking up his first World Cup booking.
Scotland vs Brazil Key Stats
- Brazil drew 1-1 with Morocco on Matchday 1 — Vinicius Junior equaliser
- Brazil beat Haiti 3-0 on Matchday 2 — Vinicius Junior on the scoresheet plus an assist
- Vinicius Junior arrives with 2 goals and 1 assist across the first two World Cup matches
- Scotland beat Haiti 1-0 on Matchday 1 with a stoppage-time-feel winner from Steve Clarke’s side
- Scotland lost 1-0 to Morocco on Matchday 2 to early Saibari goal
- Group C standings: Brazil 4pts (+3 GD), Morocco 4pts (+1 GD), Scotland 3pts (0 GD), Haiti 0pts
- Scotland sit as one of the best third-placed teams currently — defeat is not necessarily elimination
- Lewis Ferguson (Bologna captain) yet to be cautioned at this tournament
- Ferguson made 3 fouls across 2 group games but has been fouled 9 times — high involvement marker
- Both Group C Matchday 3 fixtures kick off simultaneously at 11pm UK on Wednesday 24 June
- Match venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens — home of Miami Dolphins (NFL)
- This is the first ever competitive meeting between Scotland and Brazil at a World Cup
- Steve Clarke (Scotland) and Carlo Ancelotti (Brazil) the two head coaches
- A narrow Scotland defeat could still see them progress as one of the eight best third-placed teams
- Scotland have never progressed past the group stage at any major tournament
Alternative Bet — Both Teams to Score at 5/4 (Boosting Builder to 18/1 with bet365)
Both teams to score is a good alternative bet, and comes in at very decent odds of 5/4. As I said, Brazil will break Scotland down, and the Scots will hit Brazil on the counter, so I think there’s a reasonable chance of both teams scoring. Improved odds of 5/4 increases the overall odds of this bet builder to 18/1 with Bet 365.
How to Watch Scotland vs Brazil in the UK
- Kick-off: 11pm UK time, Wednesday 24 June 2026 (6pm ET in Miami Gardens)
- TV: BBC One (free-to-air)
- Live streaming: BBC iPlayer (free with BBC account)
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida — home of Miami Dolphins (NFL)
- Group: C (alongside Morocco and Haiti)
- Match significance: Group C decider for Scotland — win or hold a narrow defeat to progress as one of the eight best third-placed teams
The 11pm UK kick-off runs simultaneously with the Morocco vs Haiti Group C decider on BBC Two — Wednesday night Group C double-header for the tournament’s tightest group.
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Jake has been on the thatsagoal.com team for over 5 years, and he is the person responsible for the bet builders across the Premier League and Champions League. His background in journalism means the articles are perfectly written, and each prediction is explained with stats and reasoning to back them up. There have been countless winners from Jake, including a 66/1 win in the FA Cup final when Manchester City were beaten by Crystal Palace.