Last Updated on 28/04/2026 by Andy Clark
Jake has been on the thatsagoal.com team for over 5 years, and he is the person responsible for the bet builders across the Premier League and Champions League. His background in journalism means the articles are perfectly written, and each prediction is explained with stats and reasoning to back them up. There have been countless winners from Jake, including a 66/1 win in the FA Cup final when Manchester City were beaten by Crystal Palace.
Our 30/1 Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal bet builder tip for Wednesday’s Champions League semi-final first leg at the Estadio Metropolitano. Kick-off is at 8pm BST, live on Amazon Prime Video from 7pm.
Atletico Madrid welcome Arsenal in the second of two Champions League semi-final first legs this week. Arsenal are top of the Premier League, while Atletico are fourth in La Liga.
Atletico have won only three of their last 10 in all competitions, which is a very poor run of form. They lost their last Champions League match 1-2 against a 10 men Barcelona, but progressed following a 0-2 win in the first leg away from home.
Arsenal have been poor of late, but returned to the top of the Premier League at the weekend following a 1-0 victory over Newcastle at the Emirates. They progressed past Sporting Lisbon with a 1-0 aggregate win in the quarter-final.
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Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal Bet Builder Tip – Wednesday 30 April 2026
Best Bet Builder Tip – Arsenal to Win (13/8)
Arsenal got back to winning ways with that victory over Newcastle at the weekend, and I think they’ll continue that form in this first leg semi-final fixture in Madrid. Atletico won last time out, but that was only their third win in the last 10. Arsenal haven’t been great, but come into this one in slightly better form, with four wins in 10, alongside two draws and four defeats. Arsenal are looking to do the Champions League and Premier League double, and I think they’ll make a good start with a good victory away to Atletico in this one.
Both Teams to Score (19/20)
I think this will be a fantastic spectacle, and both teams to score is a great shout. Arsenal have scored in eight of their last 10, conceding in five, with both teams scoring on four occasions. Atletico have scored in each of their last 10 matches, conceding in eight of them, with both teams scoring in eight of them as well. There has been a significant amount of goals in Atletico’s last 10, with 34 goals scored in that time. They’ve scored 28 goals in their last 10 home matches. I think both teams will get themselves on the scoresheet here.
Viktor Gyökeres Over 0.5 Shots on Target (27/25)
I’m backing Arsenal’s Viktor Gyökeres to have one or more shots on target in this one. The Sweden striker has bagged four goals in the Champions League so far this season, scoring another 12 in the Premier League. I expect this one to be an open encounter, and if given the chance, I think Gyökeres will have a minimum of one shot on target, and it’s decent odds at 27/25.
Alex Baena to be Booked (3/1)
I’m backing Atletico’s left winger Alex Baena to pick up a card in this one. The 24-year-old has been booked eight times in all competitions this season, with four in La Liga, two in the Champions League and two in the Copa Del Rey. At home, Atletico spend a lot of time on the front foot, while Arsenal play a possession-based style of football, passing the ball out from the defence. With that, he will be forced to press high up the pitch, which may lead to him making a couple of fouls. With eight fouls in 11 Champions League appearances this season, an average near one foul per game, I think 3/1 is good odds for him to be booked.
Alternative Bet – Over 3.5 Goals @ 17/5
There hasn’t been many goals in Arsenal games, but plenty in games involving Atletico, especially in their home fixtures. Odds of 17/5 for this selection would take the odds of this bet builder to 50/1 with BetMGM.
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Jake has been on the thatsagoal.com team for over 5 years, and he is the person responsible for the bet builders across the Premier League and Champions League. His background in journalism means the articles are perfectly written, and each prediction is explained with stats and reasoning to back them up. There have been countless winners from Jake, including a 66/1 win in the FA Cup final when Manchester City were beaten by Crystal Palace.