Peterborough vs Barnsley betting tips, bet builder legs and predictions from our stats model, weighing recent form, player props and the latest odds to find the best bets.
Three selections, and the fixture is the most open of Tuesday’s ties. Peterborough have seen goals at both ends in 15 of their last 20, the highest figure of any side in this round, and Barnsley in 12.
Peterborough United vs Barnsley Team Stats
Peterborough United
- D1-1at Milton Keynes Dons12 Sep
- L1-2Sheffield Wednesday05 Sep
- D0-0Stevenage01 Sep
- L0-4at Blackpool29 Aug
- W2-1Mansfield Town22 Aug
- L0-2at Bradford City15 Aug
Barnsley
- L0-3at Plymouth Argyle12 Sep
- L1-5Stevenage05 Sep
- W2-1Blackpool02 Sep
- W3-1at Leyton Orient29 Aug
- D0-0at Doncaster Rovers22 Aug
- L0-1Bromley15 Aug
Peterborough vs Barnsley Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score — 4/6. Peterborough have seen goals at both ends in 15 of their last 20 and Barnsley in 12, which gives about 68% against the 60% implied by 4/6.
L. Connell 2+ Shots — 13/8. Luca Connell has had two or more shots in 5 of his last 10 for Barnsley, at 1.74 per 90 across 1,295 minutes.
T. Noslin 1+ Shot on Target — 6/4. Tyrese Noslin takes 3.73 shots per 90 for Barnsley, the highest rate in this fixture, and has hit the target in 3 of his last 6.
Potential Bet Builder Legs Based on Our Stats Model
| Selection | Odds | Our model | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Connell 2+ Shots | 13/8 | 50% | 38% | +12 |
| T. Noslin 1+ Shot on Target | 6/4 | 50% | 40% | +10 |
| Both Teams to Score | 4/6 | 68% | 60% | +8 |
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
These are legs worth considering inside a bet builder, where several combine into a price worth taking. Every one is a market where our stats model gives the selection more chance of landing than the bookmaker’s odds imply.
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin – so an edge of two or three points sits inside that margin rather than being a genuine disagreement.
The bet builder below is the one we have picked from these markets.
Player Props Bet Finder
Loading prices…
Every player bet365 have priced for this match, with each player’s record over his last ten alongside the price. No tips, no selections – the numbers and the odds side by side.
What We Are Leaving Out
Every card market. Thomas Parsons books 4.86 a game, but no cards line is priced on this fixture at all – bet365 have the corners and the goals and nothing else.
The corners at 10.5. The two sides take 10.60 between them, which is as close to the line as it gets.
Peterborough vs Barnsley Prediction
We are predicting 2-2. The market makes it 42% Peterborough, 25% the draw and 32% Barnsley.
Peterborough have scored 15 in 10 at home and conceded 14 – both ends open. Barnsley have won 2 of their last 6 and scored 11 in 10 away.
Both teams to score is the market this fixture points at, and it is our lead selection at 4/6. Peterborough’s 15 of 20 is the highest BTTS figure of any side playing this week, and neither defence has kept many clean sheets.
This is the one tie of the five where both sides will field something close to a full-strength team – it matters more to both than it does to the Premier League clubs playing elsewhere.
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.