Last Updated on 04/05/2026 by Andy Clark
Everton vs Manchester City closes out the Premier League weekend on Monday night under the lights at Goodison — a fixture where Pep Guardiola’s title-chasing City are expected to dominate possession and attacking output, with the Toffees looking to make life difficult on home turf.
It’s the basis for a 25/1 bet builder at bet365 combining Beto’s recent goalscoring form, James Garner’s disciplinary record, and the relentless attacking output of Erling Haaland. Here’s the full preview and the bet builder tips.
Everton vs Manchester City Bet Builder — 25/1 at bet365
| Selection | Odds | Recent form |
|---|---|---|
| Beto Anytime Goalscorer | — | Hit in 3 of last 3 |
| James Garner to be Shown a Card | — | Hit in 3 of last 3 |
| Erling Haaland Over 3.5 Shots | — | Hit in 4 of last 4 |
| Erling Haaland to Score or Assist | — | Hit in 6 of last 9 |
| Combined bet builder | 25/1 | — |
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Everton vs Manchester City Match Preview
Kick-off: 8pm BST, Goodison Park, Monday 5 May 2026 Competition: Premier League, Round 36
Manchester City arrive at Goodison riding a six-game unbeaten run across all competitions, with Pep Guardiola’s side in the form they need as the title race tightens with Arsenal. Three points here keeps the title pressure on the Gunners — anything less and Arsenal’s lead at the top potentially extends through the final two rounds of the season.
Everton have made Goodison Park awkward for visitors throughout the 2025/26 season — narrow defeats to Liverpool and West Ham in their last two home fixtures came against the run of play in both cases. Sean Dyche’s organised, defensively-disciplined side don’t always score the goals to win games, but they don’t make it easy for opponents either.
For a fixture preview that pulls together every angle, see how the three major UK pundits view this match. Chris Sutton (BBC) tips 1-2 City, Paul Merson (Sky) sees a 1-1 draw, and Jones Knows (Sky) backs City to win at half-time and full-time at 6/5. Browse the full breakdown via our pundits hub.
The Tips
Beto Anytime Goalscorer — Hit in 3 of last 3
Everton’s Portuguese striker has been the bright spot in their recent attacking returns. Beto has scored in each of his last three appearances, and continuing that run on Monday is the bet builder’s biggest single-leg edge.
The case is straightforward — Beto has finally clicked into rhythm after a slow start to the campaign, and Manchester City’s high defensive line plays directly into his strengths. Beto’s pace and willingness to run in behind exploits the space left by City’s full-backs pushing forward. Even when City dominate possession, the structural transitions tend to give pacy strikers high-quality chances on the counter.
Even at home with City likely to dominate possession, the chances will come. Beto is the focal point of every Everton attacking move — and finding the back of the net at any point in the 90 minutes is a realistic outcome.
James Garner to be Shown a Card — Hit in 3 of last 3
Garner has picked up cards in each of his last three Premier League appearances, and the match-up against Manchester City sets up another booking.
Garner plays in the heart of Everton’s midfield — exactly where City’s attacking midfielders Bernardo Silva, Phil Foden and Rayan Cherki will be looking to pull the strings. When facing technical opposition with the ball, Garner’s defensive role typically forces him into tactical fouls to break up play. Three yellow cards in three matches isn’t an aberration — it’s a structural pattern.
Add in the Goodison atmosphere and a referee who’ll likely be quick to reach for a card given the high-pressure context, and the Garner card market is one of the cleaner edges in this bet builder.
Erling Haaland Over 3.5 Shots — Hit in 4 of last 4
Haaland has had four-plus shots in each of his last four Premier League appearances. With City almost certain to dominate possession in Everton’s half, the Norwegian striker should comfortably clear the 3.5 line again.
The volume here is the key. Haaland averages 4.2 shots per Premier League match this season — comfortably above the 3.5 threshold. Against an Everton side that will likely sit deep and concede possession, Haaland should be peppering Jordan Pickford’s goal from multiple angles throughout the 90 minutes.
Goodison’s tighter pitch dimensions also tend to favour shot-volume strikers — the ball gets recycled more quickly into attacking areas, and there’s less space for defenders to clear long. For a striker who shoots from anywhere within range, that’s the ideal context.
Erling Haaland to Score or Assist — Hit in 6 of last 9
Haaland has either scored or assisted in six of his last nine Premier League appearances — and the bet builder’s anchor leg.
City’s front four of Haaland, Cherki, Doku and Semenyo has been their attacking blueprint throughout the run of form, and Haaland’s involvement in goals — whether finishing the chance himself or laying it on for a teammate — is a near-constant feature. Six in nine is a strong base rate, and the match-up against Everton at Goodison shouldn’t move that probability downwards.
This is the bet builder’s correlation anchor. If Haaland is involved in a City goal — which the data suggests is the more likely outcome than not — the over 3.5 shots leg almost certainly lands too. The two Haaland legs share underlying probabilities in a way that helps rather than hurts the combined price.
Combined Bet Builder Odds — 25/1 at bet365
Pulling the four selections together gives a 25/1 bet builder at bet365. £10 returns £260. £5 returns £130.
The bet works because the four selections are correlated in the same direction:
- City dominating possession at Goodison (anchor) → Haaland getting shots away → over 3.5 shots
- City sustained pressure on Everton’s back line → Haaland involved in goals → score or assist
- Everton sitting deep, breaking on counters → Beto getting transition chances → goalscorer
- Garner facing City’s technical midfield → tactical fouls to break up play → booking
The bet builder format works particularly well when selections support each other rather than fighting for the same ball — and these four are reading from the same script. City dominate, Haaland flourishes, Beto gets his counter-attacking moments, and Garner pays the price for trying to break up City’s flow.
bet365’s Bet Builder is one of the better products on the UK market for this kind of multi-leg combination — depth across all four markets we’ve selected, fast settlement, full cash out available if you want to settle early during the match.
Build this 25/1 Everton vs Manchester City Bet Builder at bet365 →
Everton vs Manchester City — Form Guide
Manchester City Recent Form
City arrive at Goodison on a six-game unbeaten run, with the title race against Arsenal tightening into the final two rounds. Pep Guardiola’s side have rediscovered their attacking identity, with the Haaland-led front four producing consistent goals across the run.
The away record this season has been their strength — City’s discipline on the road combined with their ability to dominate possession in opposition territory has been the platform for their late-season title push.
Everton Recent Form
Everton have lost their last two Premier League home matches narrowly — both against the run of play in difficult performances. Sean Dyche’s side don’t typically generate enough attacking output to win games against the top six, but their defensive structure makes them difficult to break down.
Beto’s recent goalscoring form is the standout positive — three goals in three games for the Portuguese striker, with chances finally being converted at a higher rate.
Head-to-Head
City have won their last three Premier League meetings against Everton, with all three games featuring multiple City goals. The reverse fixture at the Etihad in November ended 2-1 to City — a closer game than the table suggested at the time.
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Pundit Verdicts on Everton vs Manchester City
The three major UK pundits each gave their take on this match — and they’re split on the result:
- Chris Sutton (BBC) — Everton 1-2 Manchester City — backs City but expects Everton to make it competitive on home turf
- Paul Merson (Sky) — Everton 1-1 Manchester City — sees the title race effectively over this weekend if City drop points here
- Jones Knows (Sky) — backs City to win at HT/FT at 6/5, citing City’s nine goals scored and zero conceded in opening 15 minutes this season
Two of three pundits back City, with Merson the outlier. For our full breakdown, see our pundits hub three-way comparison plus the individual pundit pages — Chris Sutton’s predictions, Paul Merson’s predictions and Jones Knows’ predictions.
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Andy is the founder, owner and editor of thatsagoal.com, with over 20 years of experience in betting on sports. He has a keen eye for stats, particularly when looking at players to be carded, and these form a large part of the bet builder tips you see on the site. As well as creating daily football tips, Andy also keeps thatsagoal updated with all the best bookmaker promotions and offers for our readers.